A Practioner’s Guide to Operational Real Time Earthquake Forecasting
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Forecasting large aftershocks within one day after the main shock
Forecasting the aftershock probability has been performed by the authorities to mitigate hazards in the disaster area after a main shock. However, despite the fact that most of large aftershocks occur within a day from the main shock, the operational forecasting has been very difficult during this time-period due to incomplete recording of early aftershocks. Here we propose a real-time method f...
متن کاملOffshore forecasting of Hawaiian tsunamis generated in Alaskan-Aleutian Subduction Zone
This report describes an R&D activity conducted during FY 1998 to develop tsunami forecasting tools for the Pacific Disaster Center (PDC). The activity included analytical and numerical sensitivity studies of tsunami wave characteristics offshore of Hawaii, for ranges of earthquake source parameters in the Alaska-Aleutian Subduction Zone (AASZ); this region is a major source of destructive tsun...
متن کاملSeismic Data Forecasting: A Sequence Prediction or a Sequence Recognition Task
In this paper, we have tried to predict earthquake events in a cluster of seismic data on pacific ring of fire, using multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS). The model is employed as either a predictor for a sequence prediction task, or a binary classifier for a sequence recognition problem, which could alternatively help to predict an event. Here, we explain that sequence prediction/r...
متن کاملTowards an Adaptive Forecasting of Earthquake Time Series from Decomposable and Salient Characteristics
Earthquake forecasting is known to be a challenging research program for which no single prediction method can claim to be the best. At large, earthquake data when viewed as a time series over a long time, exhibits a complex pattern that is composed of a mix of statistical features. A single prediction algorithm often does not yield an optimal forecast by analyzing over a long series that is co...
متن کاملA new probability density function in earthquake occurrences
Although knowing the time of the occurrence of the earthquakes is vital and helpful, unfortunately it is still unpredictable. By the way there is an urgent need to find a method to foresee this catastrophic event. There are a lot of methods for forecasting the time of earthquake occurrence. Another method for predicting that is to know probability density function of time interval between earth...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2014